Bank runs & complex systems – Reflections from Sarawak

"There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen" Vladimir Lenin I was visiting relatives in Kuching, Sarawak when the multiple news reports of American bank failures hit the screens and home televisions the world over. The speed and ferocity of the downfall of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and the subsequent … Continue reading Bank runs & complex systems – Reflections from Sarawak

‘Less about fundamentals, more about risk management’ ~ podcast with Mark Dow

I follow a couple of macro investors out there and Mark Dow of 'Behavioral Macro' is worth following. Dow was an economist with various stints in Wall Street institutions and even the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He currently manages a family office based out in Southern California. Futures Radio Show interviewed Dow at the beginning … Continue reading ‘Less about fundamentals, more about risk management’ ~ podcast with Mark Dow

Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)

I once learnt futures trading under an ex-investment professional who was with Temasek and later in the hedge fund industry. While I adapted my style and strategy over the years, there was one valuable piece of advise that I held to heart till this day. Over lunch once, he talked about the famous macro investor … Continue reading Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)

Why I Believe In Cryptocurrencies & Blockchain, but why I’m not buying now

At the height of the Industrial Revolution that started in the United Kingdom (UK), the railroads were once thought to be 'game changers'. After the invention of the steam engine and the locomotive, railroads took off as they start to replace the traditional roads and paths of commuters. Instead of the slow and rather painful way of … Continue reading Why I Believe In Cryptocurrencies & Blockchain, but why I’m not buying now

Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update

While it was a decent 3 months for both broad equity and bond markets, all my trades did not work out as expected and I cut all my initial positions that were initiated in January. Additionally, a couple of my positions that were USD-denominated also saw valuations affected by the slight weakening of the Dollar against … Continue reading Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update

Review of 2016 & my thoughts for 2017

2016 was a year of ups and downs and many unexpected events, but they are merely symptoms of the signs of the times.. If any, 2017 would probably be tumultuous as well, and as global macro investors, we are rewarded and protected by being opportunistic, nimble and adaptable. Like the famous Bruce Lee used to … Continue reading Review of 2016 & my thoughts for 2017

Europe’s banks turning the corner?

2016's a year that has been dominated by concerns over banks, and in particular, European banks. Financial markets were spooked in January after banks like Deutsche Bank missed 4Q 2015's earnings targets by a wide margin, and solvency problems also rose as investors became concerned that banks and lenders around the world would be affected … Continue reading Europe’s banks turning the corner?