An excerpt from a week’s journal: Weekend 4 – 5 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts What a crazy week of a series of risk-off days. It’s time to reassess the macro liquidity landscape: US high yield bond credit spreads remain under control and are still relatively tight: The Chicago Fed’s ANFC Index is still at … More Weekly Observations
The investment landscape is changing for the first time in 8 years. According to the IMF‘s data, America’s economy is operating at if not above capacity (output gap closing), with a relatively tight labour market and leveraging by both corporations and households. A pickup in investment began early last year, as growth accelerated and companies … More 3 areas to steer clear of & 1 chart to monitor
Swiss investor Felix Zulauf is a pioneer among global finance. He joint the industry before Wall Street became ‘Wall Street’. He anticipated the great equity bull market in the early 1980s, made a killing for his clients during the infamous 1987 market crash, and foresaw the Asian Financial Crisis back in the 1990s. How brilliant … More A Great Podcast not to be missed
In April this year, local US media reported that the Kentucky Coal Museum is opting for solar power usage, in what may go down as an ironic and perhaps iconic twist in the history of fossil fuels and the global energy industry. 80 or so solar panels are to be installed, with the expectation of … More Time to bet against coal?
While it was a decent 3 months for both broad equity and bond markets, all my trades did not work out as expected and I cut all my initial positions that were initiated in January. Additionally, a couple of my positions that were USD-denominated also saw valuations affected by the slight weakening of the Dollar against … More Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update
2016 was a year of ups and downs and many unexpected events, but they are merely symptoms of the signs of the times.. If any, 2017 would probably be tumultuous as well, and as global macro investors, we are rewarded and protected by being opportunistic, nimble and adaptable. Like the famous Bruce Lee used to … More Review of 2016 & my thoughts for 2017
2016’s been accepted as a watershed year: a year where we saw a rise in populism in the West. There’s been countless articles and commentaries written on this rather (un)eventful year, so I shall not add to the existing pile. As global macro investors, we are well aware that developments in the political realm can lead to changes … More Investing in an age of populism…