"There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen" Vladimir Lenin I was visiting relatives in Kuching, Sarawak when the multiple news reports of American bank failures hit the screens and home televisions the world over. The speed and ferocity of the downfall of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and the subsequent … Continue reading Bank runs & complex systems – Reflections from Sarawak
Tag: trading
Thoughts on the market selloff
While appreciating the tranquility of the forest beside a stream, the wise and veteran samurai tells the young warrior: 'If you sit by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by' I've long wondered what this quote meant, but I think I've finally figured it out. It is a quote about … Continue reading Thoughts on the market selloff
This Horse-racing gambler earned almost a billion – here’s what he can teach us
One of the best articles that I’ve read in 2018 was a Bloomberg piece I opened while commuting in the subway on a rainy weekday. Kit Chellel’s ‘The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code’ was simply breath-taking. It chronicles the life of Mr Bill Benter, a swashbuckling horse-racing gambler born in Pittsburgh in the United … Continue reading This Horse-racing gambler earned almost a billion – here’s what he can teach us
Reviewing 2018, & what’s next?
It's time for a review of 2018, and I have to say that I managed to protect my capital (which is great and am fortunate) but I did not capitalise aggressively on opportunities that I was aware of. But for both Wall Street and Main Street and for investors who have to be invested from … Continue reading Reviewing 2018, & what’s next?
‘Less about fundamentals, more about risk management’ ~ podcast with Mark Dow
I follow a couple of macro investors out there and Mark Dow of 'Behavioral Macro' is worth following. Dow was an economist with various stints in Wall Street institutions and even the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He currently manages a family office based out in Southern California. Futures Radio Show interviewed Dow at the beginning … Continue reading ‘Less about fundamentals, more about risk management’ ~ podcast with Mark Dow
Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)
I once learnt futures trading under an ex-investment professional who was with Temasek and later in the hedge fund industry. While I adapted my style and strategy over the years, there was one valuable piece of advise that I held to heart till this day. Over lunch once, he talked about the famous macro investor … Continue reading Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)
Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters
An excerpt from a week's journal: 20 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts Today was generally a risk-on environment, with Chinese equity indexes leading the way in Asia Pacific (Japan and South Korea lagged). Indian equities continued to climb higher. The Yuan has also somewhat stabilised and has strengthened against the USD since last week. Chinese … Continue reading Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters
Weekly Observations
An excerpt from a week's journal: Weekend 4 - 5 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts What a crazy week of a series of risk-off days. It’s time to reassess the macro liquidity landscape: US high yield bond credit spreads remain under control and are still relatively tight: The Chicago Fed’s ANFC Index is still at … Continue reading Weekly Observations
These are the things I wish I knew before I started investing
When I first started dabbling in the financial markets years ago, it wasn't a pleasant experience. I made money at first but eventually lost it all, and losing one's hard-earned savings was a heart-wrenching experience. It made me doubt if I could ever become a successful investor (I know it sounds naive). While I saw … Continue reading These are the things I wish I knew before I started investing
Macro Investing Masterclass (John Burbank converses with Kyle Bass)
John Burbank III, founder of Passport Capital, is a well-known macro investor based out of San Francisco. He grew Passport from around $800,000 to an investment firm managing north of $3 billion at its height. He was also one of the few money managers who anticipated the subprime mortgage crisis in 2005 and actually … Continue reading Macro Investing Masterclass (John Burbank converses with Kyle Bass)