Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters

An excerpt from a week’s journal: 20 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts Today was generally a risk-on environment, with Chinese equity indexes leading the way in Asia Pacific (Japan and South Korea lagged). Indian equities continued to climb higher. The Yuan has also somewhat stabilised and has strengthened against the USD since last week. Chinese … More Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters

Weekly Observations

An excerpt from a week’s journal: Weekend 4 – 5 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts What a crazy week of a series of risk-off days. It’s time to reassess the macro liquidity landscape: US high yield bond credit spreads remain under control and are still relatively tight: The Chicago Fed’s ANFC Index is still at … More Weekly Observations

Lessons from Soros’ Quantum Fund! Part II

In the first article of this series, we covered the philosophy and mindset of Soros’ Quantum Fund. We learnt about (i) Soros’ belief of Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle, (ii) his attitudes towards risks (that its omnipresent and has to be managed in relative and subjective degrees), and (iii) his ruthless obsession about the bottom line. In this … More Lessons from Soros’ Quantum Fund! Part II

Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update

While it was a decent 3 months for both broad equity and bond markets, all my trades did not work out as expected and I cut all my initial positions that were initiated in January. Additionally, a couple of my positions that were USD-denominated also saw valuations affected by the slight weakening of the Dollar against … More Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update

The BOJ’s new framework may mean that the Yen may become Confetti some day…

In its September policy update, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced that it’s tweaking its framework to “Quantitative & Qualitative Easing with Yield Curve Control”, with 2 major components: Yield curve control: “the bank will control short-term and long-term interest rates” Inflation-overshooting commitment: “the bank commits itself to expanding the monetary base until the year-on-year … More The BOJ’s new framework may mean that the Yen may become Confetti some day…

Is Defense a growth industry in Asia-Pacific?

When well-known talk show host Charlie Rose sat down with the late Lee Kuan Yew (the first Prime Minister of Singapore) back in early 2009, he asked Mr Lee what he would like to convey or ask the newly-elected US president Barrack Obama. Mr Lee’s question to President Obama was direct and surreptitiously grim: “How would you defend … More Is Defense a growth industry in Asia-Pacific?