2nd Quarter 2017 Review & Strategy for 2H 2017

The first half of 2017 is over, and my book remained almost unchanged from the end of 1Q 2017 to the end of June. I maintain my defensive stance, risking one-third of my usual sizing for any new positions and also gunning for lowly-correlated positions in terms of price structure as well as fundamental logic. … Continue reading 2nd Quarter 2017 Review & Strategy for 2H 2017 →

Playing Brexit: Long Euro & short Sterling

The Brits are officially leaving the European Union (EU), following the invoking of Article 50 and British envoy Tim Barrow handling a letter to the EU Council on the 29th of March 2017. An informative book on the subject is explored by Roger Bootle of Capital Economics, and I've found it to be highly instrumental … Continue reading Playing Brexit: Long Euro & short Sterling →

En Garde! Playing the French Elections & a Frexit?

En Garde! French citizens are once again heading to the polls in what is arguably 2017's most widely and closely-watched high key political event: the French Presidential and Parliamentary Elections! At stake? Possibly the future of the European Union (EU). That's because one of the potential candidates for the Presidency, Madame Marine Le Pen, is calling … Continue reading En Garde! Playing the French Elections & a Frexit? →

Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update

While it was a decent 3 months for both broad equity and bond markets, all my trades did not work out as expected and I cut all my initial positions that were initiated in January. Additionally, a couple of my positions that were USD-denominated also saw valuations affected by the slight weakening of the Dollar against … Continue reading Review of 1st Quarter 2017 & Portfolio Update →

Betting on the Czech Koruna & the Mundell-Fleming Trilemma

Foreign exchange rates are notoriously difficult to predict over the short term, because there's a great deal of volume traded across the world by many various players (governments, corporations, individuals, etc) for all sorts of reasons. However, they are easier to see over a longer term period as they are the reflection of the interactions of … Continue reading Betting on the Czech Koruna & the Mundell-Fleming Trilemma →

Investing in an age of populism…

2016's been accepted as a watershed year: a year where we saw a rise in populism in the West. There's been countless articles and commentaries written on this rather (un)eventful year, so I shall not add to the existing pile. As global macro investors, we are well aware that developments in the political realm can lead to changes … Continue reading Investing in an age of populism… →

My thoughts on Brexit – and its implications

While a ton has been said on the United Kingdom's European Union (EU) referendum results since the 23rd of June, I will explain 2 major implications that I personally feel could lead to several, long-lasting effects across the world as we know it, as well as some implications that they could have on the investment … Continue reading My thoughts on Brexit – and its implications →