Whenever there's an economic ideology that is gaining traction, I try to keep an open mind about it and stay abreast. I've noticed throughout history that when the dominant economic ideology of the day changes, their effects are typically felt over years and decades. After all it was Lord Keynes who wrote that: 'The ideas … Continue reading Modern Monetary Theory – entering adoption phase
MMT stands for 'Modern Monetary Theory', and it may be the next must-know term to know and understand before it becomes mainstream. OK, but what exactly is Modern Monetary Theory? The Roosevelt Institute published an article about it eight years ago, and it simply describes a school of thought in macro-economic thinking that revolves around … Continue reading If there’s one thing to know soon, it’s MMT
An excerpt from a week's journal: 20 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts Today was generally a risk-on environment, with Chinese equity indexes leading the way in Asia Pacific (Japan and South Korea lagged). Indian equities continued to climb higher. The Yuan has also somewhat stabilised and has strengthened against the USD since last week. Chinese … Continue reading Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters
An excerpt from a week's journal: Weekend 4 - 5 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts What a crazy week of a series of risk-off days. It’s time to reassess the macro liquidity landscape: US high yield bond credit spreads remain under control and are still relatively tight: The Chicago Fed’s ANFC Index is still at … Continue reading Weekly Observations
Political experts use the phrase 'strong men era' to describe the current political landscape. Everywhere across the world, authoritarian leaders have swept into power (or simply seized it) since the start of the current decade. In the US, Republican President Donald Trump is widely considered as a populist politician who has an anti-establishment leaning. His … Continue reading We’re in an era of ‘Strong Men’: 4 things investors must take note of
Foreign exchange rates are notoriously difficult to predict over the short term, because there's a great deal of volume traded across the world by many various players (governments, corporations, individuals, etc) for all sorts of reasons. However, they are easier to see over a longer term period as they are the reflection of the interactions of … Continue reading Betting on the Czech Koruna & the Mundell-Fleming Trilemma
The famous investor George Soros is well-known for a theory of his known as 'Reflexivity'. He has used this theory of his as a framework to manage his investment firm and to build a fortune over the years from the financial markets. So what exactly is Reflexivity? Here's the man himself explaining it in his … Continue reading Reflexivity detected in Financial Markets – look out!
Throughout the history of financial markets, various colourful and interesting personalities are known to dominate various time periods, appearing as 'wizards' or narrative icons of dominating market trends in those times. Think about the 1980s for a moment. Both Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher were sworn into office in the United States and in Great Britain … Continue reading The “Decade of the Central Banks”