The investment landscape is changing for the first time in 8 years. According to the IMF‘s data, America’s economy is operating at if not above capacity (output gap closing), with a relatively tight labour market and leveraging by both corporations and households. A pickup in investment began early last year, as growth accelerated and companies … More 3 areas to steer clear of & 1 chart to monitor
An old Tuscan proverb claims that “after the game, the king and the pawn go into the same box”. Would the upcoming elections in Italy turn out to be as what the proverb claims? Political uncertainties have gripped Europe since the fated Brexit vote, and Italy is widely seen to be a poster child of … More Italian Elections – Il problema?
The Japanese have a term to describe the effort of continuous improvement for the better: 改善 (pronounced ‘Kai-zen’) That’s what exactly what I need to do. Ever since I decided that I wanted to be a successful macro investor, I’ve embarked on my never-ending journey, climbed mountains and went through valleys, sought out the sages, … More 3rd Quarter 2017 Review: Time for Kaizen!
I recently attended a forum organised by the Singapore Exchange (SGX) and SmartKarma, where an interesting guest speaker was invited for a keynote address. Dr Jim Walker of Asianomics, a witty Scottish economist based in Hong Kong who speaks with a semi-thick Scot accent, delivered an insightful presentation regarding the future prospects of Southeast Asian … More Dr Jim Walker’s thoughts, & observations from Penang…
The Ancient Silk Road was known to be the stuff of legends, inspiring many of our ancestors back in those days enthralled by adventure and mystery. The famous Venetian merchant Marco Polo recorded his journey across Asia through this ancient travel and trade route, which for centuries, have allowed merchants, traders, travellers, missionaries and diplomats … More Playing China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’!
In April this year, local US media reported that the Kentucky Coal Museum is opting for solar power usage, in what may go down as an ironic and perhaps iconic twist in the history of fossil fuels and the global energy industry. 80 or so solar panels are to be installed, with the expectation of … More Time to bet against coal?
To understand the game of the financial markets, we need to understand the game masters The game masters are the central banks, as they directly influence the costs of credit in the financial and real economy, influencing the business cycles The ECB will gradually move to wind down its stimulus programme, but has to maintain … More Playing the ECB’s potential tapering?