Trade deal or no trade deal? It does not matter…

'We, the Chinese nation, after fifty years of sanguinary revolutions and five and a half years of sacrifice in the War of Resistance, have finally transformed the history of a hundred years of the Unequal Treaties of sorrow into a glorious record of the termination of the Unequal Treaties' ~ Chiang Kai-Shek, January 1943 Somewhere … Continue reading Trade deal or no trade deal? It does not matter…

If there’s one thing to know soon, it’s MMT

MMT stands for 'Modern Monetary Theory', and it may be the next must-know term to know and understand before it becomes mainstream. OK, but what exactly is Modern Monetary Theory? The Roosevelt Institute published an article about it eight years ago, and it simply describes a school of thought in macro-economic thinking that revolves around … Continue reading If there’s one thing to know soon, it’s MMT

Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)

I once learnt futures trading under an ex-investment professional who was with Temasek and later in the hedge fund industry. While I adapted my style and strategy over the years, there was one valuable piece of advise that I held to heart till this day. Over lunch once, he talked about the famous macro investor … Continue reading Soros, Reflexivity & the Aussie Housing Market (Quick Thoughts)

Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters

An excerpt from a week's journal: 20 August 2018: Observations & Thoughts Today was generally a risk-on environment, with Chinese equity indexes leading the way in Asia Pacific (Japan and South Korea lagged). Indian equities continued to climb higher. The Yuan has also somewhat stabilised and has strengthened against the USD since last week. Chinese … Continue reading Weekly Observations: Central Bankers as Gamemasters

We’re in an era of ‘Strong Men’: 4 things investors must take note of

Political experts use the phrase 'strong men era' to describe the current political landscape. Everywhere across the world, authoritarian leaders have swept into power (or simply seized it) since the start of the current decade. In the US, Republican President Donald Trump is widely considered as a populist politician who has an anti-establishment leaning. His … Continue reading We’re in an era of ‘Strong Men’: 4 things investors must take note of

3 areas to steer clear of & 1 chart to monitor

The investment landscape is changing for the first time in 8 years. According to the IMF's data, America's economy is operating at if not above capacity (output gap closing), with a relatively tight labour market and leveraging by both corporations and households. A pickup in investment began early last year, as growth accelerated and companies … Continue reading 3 areas to steer clear of & 1 chart to monitor

3rd Quarter 2017 Review: Time for Kaizen!

The Japanese have a term to describe the effort of continuous improvement for the better: 改善 (pronounced 'Kai-zen') That's what exactly what I need to do. Ever since I decided that I wanted to be a successful macro investor, I've embarked on my never-ending journey, climbed mountains and went through valleys, sought out the sages, … Continue reading 3rd Quarter 2017 Review: Time for Kaizen!

Dr Jim Walker’s thoughts, & observations from Penang…

I recently attended a forum organised by the Singapore Exchange (SGX) and SmartKarma, where an interesting guest speaker was invited for a keynote address. Dr Jim Walker of Asianomics, a witty Scottish economist based in Hong Kong who speaks with a semi-thick Scot accent, delivered an insightful presentation regarding the future prospects of Southeast Asian … Continue reading Dr Jim Walker’s thoughts, & observations from Penang…